The Road to 160m+ for Nintendo Switch

[firebush03]

XtremeBG said:

firebush03 said:

While I do see what you’re saying, it should be noted that Switch had a pretty dry January through June lineup, whereas the latter half will see a brand new Zelda (with a Zelda Switch Lite to accompany it), Mario Party, and M&L. Do I personally anticipate Switch sales to drop below 500k per month anytime in the next six months? The only month I could possibly see that happening would be August, but otherwise, not even a chance. I’d expect ~1mil for September, ~800k for October, ~1.25mil for November, ~2.75mil for December **assuming there’s not a price cut nor any new affordable model.**

Yes you are right, however in case there weren't any games I could see the Switch maybe dropping below 500k per month. Because of the titles, I expect to hold the drops to not go under 500k per month. Maybe 550-600k at top with a good titles in a given month. But in that level still. We will see soon enough of course. Also I didn't saw when there are more of the big titles for it, however if they are in september and october, then maybe it won't drop to 400k then, it may stay up to 500k. Either way the drop from 1M and even 1M+ from last year months, to ~500k months now is big, and not that good sign for its goal of 160M.

I struggle to see Zelda not moving a significant number of units, especially seeing how TotK performed as well how the EoW trailer having already amassed nearly 5mil views (which borders on the number of view any given TotK trailer had received within its first few days). With the Switch Lite model being the first Switch with a traditional Zelda design to it, I feel like 1mil is a reasonable expectation for September, with momentum carrying into October a little bit. Agree to disagree, I suppose. Once 2025 starts, that when sales will truly plummet. I see no way the Switch can maintain >500k/month with a revealed successor coming within only a few months.