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eldanielfire on 20 June 2024
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CheddarPlease said:
Norion said:

Almost exactly. 7.6m were shipped after March 2011 so the same amount would just barely fall short. Slightly above that would be enough though there's the possibility it falls a bit short.

Given how fast the DS plummeted after the 3DS got its price cut, I would take those numbers as pretty close to the floor, which means that assuming the switch gets to 152.3m it's basically guaranteed to surpass 160m barring extraordinary circumstances

(Hi long time reader of this thread, first comment)

I suspect it depends on how much support Nintendo give the system after the successor comes out. I can see Nintendo using the Switch Lite as a sort of small pocket handheld cheap alternative to the successor console for a few years. It's no coincidence the new version is a Zelda Switch Lite special edition being released I think also Nintendo have more switch games than expected in the pipeline.

I'm confident at more life in the Switch as no one expected a few of the reveals in the Nintendo Direct 2 days ago. We also haven't seen any sort of price drop boost as Nintendo have not done one and that is surely coming in the next year. That's where the switch can have a continued boost against the DS.  Given the Switch 2 has been predicted to sell at $400, that does leave space for a cheap console that still has games coming and a wide library and it looks like they are cleverly using remakes/remasters to keep the console going with a few key new titles here and there. Looks to me Nintendo still has a good line-up in their back pocket until 2025 and 2026 at least to keep sales going, even as they decline. 


It looks to me they will be following the 3DS end of generation tactic rather than the DS one. Expect a few new surprise titles, plenty of ports, remakes and remasters, price drops and new model/special editions to keep if falling off a cliff edge in sales.