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h2ohno said:
Soundwave said:

Asking Prime 5 to sell more than 5 million was always a huge ask, no Metroid game has come close to 5 million, if Prime 4 can get there that would be a huge success for the IP. 

Zelda: EoW I'll put at maybe 4 million LTD.

If Prime 4 is THE big Nintendo game at launch, then it will sell more because people won't have other options. BOTW would not have sold as well as it did if Mario Kart was a launch game.  The more people who buy Prime 4 at launch, the more positive word of mouth will spread, and the more it will continue to sell in the months and even years going forward from that initial momentum.  Conversely, if Prime 4 has to compete with something like a Mario Kart or 3D Mario, it could lose 2/3 of its sales potential right out of the gate and never get the momentum needed to come anywhere near 10 million.

Zero chance Prime 4 is the Switch 2 "big launch" game. It'll be a secondary support game, Mario Kart and/or new Mario are definitely gonna be there.