Norion said:
That's pretty strange then since I was literally the only person to bring up the forecast in this thread before that post. Who exactly is obsessed with it? This is the first time I've brought it up in weeks and I've not seen much talk about it lately. The first quarter being down massively is obviously a big deal since that means they'll have to make it up elsewhere to keep the overall decline small and with this year having nothing on the level of the Mario film and TOTK and the Switch 2 not being that far off indicates that every quarter should be down significantly with the only potential exception being Q4 since that one was relatively low last time. Though the Switch 2 will be fully known about by then which will work against this Q4. The only way Nintendo can potentially make it is with a big price cut, not just a standard one but cutting it by like a full 100 since a regular one would only have so much impact this late in its life and I highly doubt they'll do that. I brought up the goal since things are already looking bad for it and saying that a full 25% of the year being down massively won't have that much affect on the overall goal is ridiculous due to what I said in the last paragraph. There's nothing wrong with speculating over whether it'll make it this early since the circumstances of this fiscal year are already fairly well known and it's an interesting topic to think about. |
Honestly I was coming from another site along with a few post here including yours but breezed over it. Honestly wasn't targeting you but I do understand why you would think that since your post is the only one mentioning. So my mistake on that, was more venting but haven't seen you post about it before so you are not whom I was referring to over obsessing.
Regardless no, you are flat out incorrect because you seem to fail to comprehend you don't know what the last 3 quarters hold. So nothing is well known. You continue to talk about what boosted last Q1 with the Mario movie and ToTK. Those will make competing with last Q1 impossible. Q2 2024 to Q4 2024 greatly depends on what Nintendo's plans are. Nintendo clearly believes Q2 to Q4 2024 should be able to match Q2 to Q4 2023, so I can't wait to see what they have in store. Also, $100 price cuts aren't the only thing lol. Another remodel could be what they have in store, but personally I think a $50 cut, more software, and more bundles would keep Switch similar. Again you are jumping the gun and don't have any idea what July to March 2025 have in store.
Again I'm not saying you can't speculate but you seem to clearly be leaning towards no chance along with having the audacity to tell me nothing can be done besides a $100.00 cut lol. This is why people get it wrong so much, they tend to believe everything they thought of is the only route to take. Switch had no chance of selling 160 million according to many because they didn't expect Switch successor to release as late as 2025. Of course that happened and now all we here now is who expected that? That's what I am trying to display to you now, we don't know what is in store and what Nintendo has planned. So you are acting prematurely.
But I love to speculate, so what do you think of this? Metroid Prime 4 and a price cut (US and Europe only, 50 on Oled & Standard) in September. Super Mario Party 2 in October, New Donkey Kong in November with the new attraction opening. More aggressive bundling such as two game bundling. Pokemon Legends ZA in March 2025. Sprinkle in some smaller titles in July, August, January, and February and you have a heck of a fiscal year.
