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Shatts on 07 May 2024
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Shtinamin_ said:
Shatts said:

Not true because it seems they are expecting the exchange rate for FY25 to be 1usd = 140yen compared to this FY24 at 1usd = 144yen. I'm assuming they have a small system seller planned for the latter half of 2024 or they plan to go through price cuts. That's why they announced the June Direct to assure there are still games coming for the Switch. I'm hoping somewhere along the lines of Tomodachi Collection or Rhythm Heaven cuz those will be a system seller for sure. Could be Metroid Prime 4, but I'm expecting that to launch with the new system, just like BotW was for the Switch. I think price cuts in the West makes sense considering the weak yen makes the Switch in Japan less than $250 for the OLED version with the current exchange rate. I don't expect to see OLED going to $250, but $300 seems possible. They could also do more bundles consoles, although I'm not sure how much effective that will be. 

 

I personally believe that if they do release a Tomodachi, Rhythm Heaven and other smaller IP's then the "system seller" would be Tomodachi due to nostalgia. Rhythm Heaven sells round 1-3M units at most, and those that are Rhythm Heaven enjoyers (like myself) have already gotten a Switch before.

I am a strong believer that Metroid Prime 4 will not be the cross-gen launch, because I think they will be releasing a new 3D Mario, and a few months later the new Mario Kart.

This 2nd half will probably be (my wish list, most realisitc to the top):
Mario Party iteration
Metroid Prime 4
DK (due to DKC in Universal & his presence in the movie)
Nintendo World Champions NES Deluxe
Tomodachi
Rhythm Heaven
Remake of Kid Icarus (1986)
Mario & Sonic @ Paris Olympics 2024
Pokémon (small game)
Nintendogs


Flip Studio (that's a want)
Art Academy (that's a want).

Agreed $300 OLED, $150 Lite, $250 Switch or bundles: MK8D+booster bundle, SMBW bundle, TotK bundle, Pikmin 4 bundle. Each bundle would be an additional $50. Maybe Nintendo implements both scenarios essentially slashing the price by $60.

With Successor Announcement in Nov 2024

The last Rhythm Heaven title was the Wii version. Ever since, the IP has gained massive popularity globally through many content creators playing it, popular edited videos like the Smash one, and older players coming together. I can totally see Rhythm Heaven doing 10m unless it's full price which it would most likely be cuz Nintendo.

If I was Nintendo, I wouldn't launch the Switch 2 with 3D Mario. I would just repeat the Switch launch. Reveal Oct, presentation Jan, launch March. Highly anticipated cross-gen title (MP4) and new IPs at launch. Mario Kart in the summer, 3D Mario holidays. Smaller titles in between.