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13.5m for hardware is higher than I expected, but certainly not impossible. It was just a year ago that 15m was deemed crazy high and unattainable; the actual result was 15.70m.

This time around we know even less about Nintendo's lineup, but this isn't worrisome when we've gone time and time again through the same thing of Nintendo having a short turnaround from game announcement to release. What we do know is that Paper Mario and Luigi's Mansion 2 are releasing earlier than anyone expected, and that isn't something that a company who is short of games would do.

Nintendo talks about reinvigorating the Switch platform, so a new SKU is likely. When current SKUs are unlikely to see permanent price cuts, then the logical option is a cost-efficient to produce new SKU. That's something that isn't unheard of.

Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV will outsell Super Smash Bros. Brawl. I was wrong.