The Road to 160m+ for Nintendo Switch

[eleazar0425]

Fight-the-Streets said:

The 13.5m forecast leaves me a bit buffling! I predicted 11m and thought that is already reaching, 12m would be the absolute highest I could see if all circumstances play out perfectly, but 13.5m that's just mind-boggling! At the same, Nintendo has no reason to forecast too ambitious numbers for the Switch's 8. year. How in the world can they reach these numbers? I guess all of the below has to play out:

1. Nintendo will have a (somewhat) big game for the holidays season
2. Switch 2 will not release in FY 25, i.e. not before April 1, 2025, most probably not before summer 2025 with even a holidays 2025 release possibility. In that point I'm pretty sure, Switch 2 will not release in FY 25.
3. Price cuts on all Switch SKU's
4. Holidays bundles
5. Pokémon Z-A will sell more consoles than I (we) think
(6. A new Switch SKU-model)

I agree on everything. I initially thought Pokemon Z-A would be cross-gen, but maybe it is not. That game is probably releasing in Q4, around January-March 2025.