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Norion on 25 April 2024
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Shtinamin_ said:
Norion said:
SuperJortendo said:

I agree with this. While I still think it's likely that the successor is announced this year and comes out early next year, the position the Switch is in is extremely uncommon and the route Nintendo decides to take is unknown. 

For all we know it could be important to Nintendo to secure the number one spot all time. Or, because of diminishing returns on graphics (and higher game budgets), it could be trying to set the precedent of 9-10 year life cycles for their consoles. 

At this point the only thing I'm sure of is that I want some version of the Miiverse back. 

Nintendo definitely doesn't care about securing the number one spot so much that they would delay launching the successor for it. It's already been rumoured they delayed it to early next year from late this year and getting the number one spot was not a factor in the any of the reports about it at all.

And the Switch doesn't have enough juice left in the tank to last 9-10 years, 8 is the most it can last before sales start getting bad since this is the last year it's gonna sell over 10m.

Switch will have its successor releasing next year, since they've already determined that it was supposed to come out this year. They will most likely announce it when they were supposed to release it. So I presume they will announce it Nov 17, 2024. Since the consoles that release in Nov are always on the 3rd Sunday. I just hope it'll not put a damper on the holiday year. If there is a solid game then it wont be a problem.

The latest they could wait to announce it would be at the Super Bowl.

And the Switch will get its replacement nearing its 9th year. And most consoles last 2-3 years after their successor launches, so we can see the Switch easily have a 10th and a 11th year, but this can and will only happen if Nintendo doesnt drop their Switch off the cliff like Mario does to the baby penguin.

Nintendo did say that the Switch was supposed to push the limits of a console life cycle.

I don't think Nintendo will wait quite that long to announce it but we'll see. For the year part I mean by the time it turns 8 years old it won't be able to last any longer without a successor since sales will have declined too much by then. Holiday this year would've been the ideal release timing but a few months later won't be overly bad.