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Norion on 25 April 2024
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Ashadelo said:
Norion said:

15% is not happening, let alone 10%. While it has done surprisingly well in Japan the past several weeks it's not gonna be able to compete with how well it did last year from week 18 till 41 and the successor will get announced at some point this year which will have a negative impact on sales including during the holiday season. 


Don't be so quick to predict that a successor will be announced this year. People on this board have been saying this for 2 years now and have been wrong every single time. Nintendo is in new territory they have never been in before, anything is possible at this point.

I'm not one of those people so that's not relevant to what I'm saying. The Switch is probably releasing early next year so it's just common sense to expect it to be announced later this year unless Nintendo waits till January to announce it though I really don't expect that. That's different than expecting it to be announced when sales are still really high.

SuperJortendo said:
Ashadelo said:



Don't be so quick to predict that a successor will be announced this year. People on this board have been saying this for 2 years now and have been wrong every single time. Nintendo is in new territory they have never been in before, anything is possible at this point.

I agree with this. While I still think it's likely that the successor is announced this year and comes out early next year, the position the Switch is in is extremely uncommon and the route Nintendo decides to take is unknown. 

For all we know it could be important to Nintendo to secure the number one spot all time. Or, because of diminishing returns on graphics (and higher game budgets), it could be trying to set the precedent of 9-10 year life cycles for their consoles. 

At this point the only thing I'm sure of is that I want some version of the Miiverse back. 

Nintendo definitely doesn't care about securing the number one spot so much that they would delay launching the successor for it. It's already been rumoured they delayed it to early next year from late this year and getting the number one spot was not a factor in any of the reports about it at all.

And the Switch doesn't have enough juice left in the tank to last 9-10 years, 8 is the most it can last before sales start getting bad since this is the last year it's gonna sell over 10m.

Last edited by Norion - on 25 April 2024