Will Switch outsell DS? PS2? Or Neither? (March 2024 Update Poll)

[Shtinamin_]

Norion said:

Shtinamin_ said:

Ok so we should be looking at a range of 2.96M - 3.36M, both are the minimum and maximum.

If Nintendo has some great games for the second half of 2024 we can expect it to be closer to 3.36M

I wouldn't go that high for the maximum though it is for sure gonna be the worst year yet for the Switch though with how old it is it would be extraordinary if that isn't the case. 

The thing is that I don't expect any huge games the second half of this year, some small-medium tier titles and maybe one that's kinda big but nothing Mario Wonder sized or TOTK sized. Prime 4 has at least a decent chance of releasing this holiday though I do think it would be better for that game if it's a cross-gen launch title.

I think 3.36M is achievable but it will be difficult if no solid games are released.

And agreed, this will be the worst Switch year, though I personally expect near 12M worldwide, which would be amazing for an 8th year.

Yeah, things are starting to ramp down in game production scale, but Nintendo is pushing a game every month. Maybe we see that as well in the second half.

What games would you want to see in the second half?

I think MP4 has the best chance to be the holiday game, most of it is done according to rumors. I can't see it being a cross-gen given we are most likely to get a Mario 3D game at launch. Plus MP4 isnt as big of an audience as Zelda was before BoTW. But I do see your perspective.