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Shtinamin_ said:
kilik said:

I'm thinking 15% down in Japan YoY and 25% down in the rest of world.

Here is 2024 so far for Japan.

Monthly Total Average
January -9.9% -9.9%
February -4.4% -7.6%
March +4.2% -3.5%
April corresponding week (2023: Apr 9-15) vs (2024: Apr 7-13) +46% -6.4%

-15% is viable. Honestly we could even see -10%

I stuck with -25% just in case there aren't any big games for the latter half of the year. If there is a big game in the latter half I can easily see between -10% to -15%

15% is not happening, let alone 10%. While it has done surprisingly well in Japan the past several weeks it's not gonna be able to compete with how well it did last year from week 18 till 41 and the successor will get announced at some point this year which will have a negative impact on sales including during the holiday season.