badskywalker said:
I wouldn't be surprised if It caught up this year. YTD, OLED is ~74% of sales, so assuming another 1.25 million total switches sold this year, we'd get a little more than the ps4's current number. |
Agreed PS4 totaled at 7,925,446, and OLED is at 7,014,166. OLED needs to sell 911,281 to surpass it. Since the OLED in Japan is the biggest portion of Switch units sold (Like what badskywalker analyzed ~74%), the Switch (Lite, OLED and V2) needs to sell 1.24M.
The Switch OLED averages 42,001 unit sales every week in Japan for 2024. If this average continues, it will surpass the PS4 in 22 weeks, Sept 22nd.
Personally, I think the Switch can average from here on out 55-60k per week. Meaning the Switch OLED will surpass the PS4 in 17 weeks, Aug 4th.
Lifetime Sales Predictions
Switch: 160 million (was 120 million, then 140 million, then 150 million)
PS5: 130 million (was 124 million)
Xbox Series X/S: 54 million (was 60 million, then 57 million)
"The way to accomplish great things, is to be indefatigable and never rest till the thing is accomplished." - Joseph Smith Jr.
