Will Switch outsell DS? PS2? Or Neither? (March 2024 Update Poll)

[Shtinamin_]

Slownenberg said:

This is an interesting question if that rumor was true about the successor getting delayed to 2025. That would mean we will perhaps see successor coming next March right around when Switch launched. So that leaves Switch as prime not only through another holiday season but also a couple extra months next year. This could add an extra few million to Switch's lifetime sales. I voted it won't pass either, but if successor doesn't come out until March 2025 I could see Switch perhaps barely passing DS lifetime, by like end of 2026. Perhaps hitting 155m total.

Nintendo could also decide they want the Switch to keep selling as a cheaper option after the successor launches. So if they do something like discontinue the original Switch, keeping the Lite and OLED but slashing the price of those to $150/$250, then I think it would for sure pass the DS and might even take down the PS2 as that would mean it might maintain 2-3 million in annual sales for a few years. It could hit 158m/159m if they do that.

I do believe the Spring (March) release in 2025 is the most possible.
And I do believe theyll have the OLED still selling at least. I say just the OLED becaause the OLED is about 60-70% of all sales for the past 6 months.

And from this 160M is easy. Switch has shipped ~141.13M, 19M to go, and I think their FY goal for 2024 will be near 12-13M. Making 6M more will be a cake walk.