Can The Switch become the best selling video game console in Japan?

[Shtinamin_]

RolStoppable said:

Shtinamin_ said:

I'm trying to understand how we got to 32.99M for the DS?
I'm going through old Famitsu forums and magazines and the last mention I can see at least is Week 52 Dec 24-30 2012, with DS selling 32,863,798 units total in Japan.

I'm not saying the 32.99M is wrong, I'm just wondering where the remaining 126k units were announced.

DS: 32.99M
GB/GBC: 32.47M
Switch: 32.03M(32,027,938)

Switch needs to sell 442k to surpass GB/GBC. Most likely surpasses in April.

Switch needs to sell 962k to surpass DS. Most likely to surpass in July.

Nintendo reported that the final shipment number for the DS in Japan is 32.99m, so that's what we go with because Nintendo is 100% accurate while Famitsu is not.

There has also been a growing discrepancy between Nintendo's shipments and tracked sell-through with each following generation, because there's no sales tracker that accounts for the units that have been sold through Nintendo's own online store (which has continuously grown its sales over the years). Switch's shipments were 33.34m LTD by December 2023, but it's completely unrealistic that there would have been more than 500k units that hadn't been sold through at that point, because retailers don't keep so much stock on shelves. Realistically, Switch sell-through surpassed 33m during January 2024, so this thread is actually about watching when Famitsu has Switch surpass the 33m mark and not what has been really happening.

By the way, the final shipment figure that was given for the 3DS in Japan was 25.26m. It possibly reached 25.30m by the end of its life, but it's not making much of a difference that Nintendo did not give a true final regional breakdown once all was said and done.

Thanks, that makes a lot of sense. :)

I'm happy my prediction for surpassing GB/GBC came a week early. That brings high hope for how much sooner Famitsu declares Switch as #1.
I can see it surpassing 32.99M sold-through by Jun 2nd.