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If VGChartz is at all reliable, then Switch is selling ~2.5mil Q4F23, likely putting shipments around 141mil. **Worst case**, Switch pulls 2mil both in Q1 & Q2F25, 4mil Q3F25, and 1mil Q4F25. At this point, Switch hits 150mil shipped. (More realistically, we should expect around 152-153mil.) In the pessimistic scenario, that’s still only 9mil for Switch to dethrone PS2. In the expected case, only 6-7mil. It’s hard to make an argument against the Switch passing DS. The PS2, however, nothing is guaranteed. I’ll remain optimistic, especially if the successor does play-along with the Nintendo Switch branding (Like how GBA was to GB, 3DS was to DS, SNES was to NES, etc. This situation may lead consumers to view Switch OG/OLED as the cheap alternative to the new console).