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soriku is not too far fetched.

it will sell around 1.5 millions in the first week alone in japan
abit less in the US 800-1.2 millions.

so the sells of 2.5 millions first week isn't to far fetched... if they release the game worldwide it will be close to 3 millions.

mgs4 sold 1.3 millions in its first day, and that game sells considerable less than ff series,
3 millions in less than a month.

 

remenber ff was always split into regions, japan... then USA 3 - 6 months later, then europe.