Could the Switch surpass the PS2 in sales?

[Bofferbrauer2]

@Chrkeller Here's a little compilation of other persons who were expecting much lower sales

Importing the Wall of Shame from the Switch prediction thread

Barkley said:

Too early to predict. 30-70 Million.

Your 100 million prediction is very unlikely, the Switch isn't going to be on the same level as the PS4.

Yeah, about that...

Darashiva said:

I think a lot of it is going to depend on how third party developers support the console. Right now its more or less staying afloat on the promise and strength of Nintendo games, but at some point it has to be able to attract outside developers as well. If it can do that, I can see it selling at least 50 million units, possibly a lot more. If not, then 30 million at best.

A lot lot more in fact

Random_Matt said:

40-50m

These 100m predictions!! Lay of the shrooms

What shrooms ;)

PortisheadBiscuit said:

30-40 mil

HEMSTAR said:

Way to early to call it but i'm guessing 25-40million but it definitely could be more.

leo-j said:

20-25M

Kaneman! said:

30-40 million I'd say, based off the current version.

Could be potentially more based on price cuts and revisions.

A bunch of lowballers...

0815user said:

below 20m

froster said:

Switch sales will end somewhere between 15 and 25 million. Never more. Because the technology is from the beginning too weak.

GProgrammer said:

30 million

Namiirei said:

19 M-26M.  35 millions maximum (1/2 of 3ds sales).

 

This thread seems like a copy-paste of the old WiiU predictions, with all these over-optimistic "predictions".

"It will sell more than wii"

"It looks like a Wii and ds combined together !"

It's just impossible for the switch to sell more than 3ds, let's be realistic here.

I expect a good 1st year with 8/10 M sold, then a hard fall after except in japan.

And some who were expecting something more akin of the Wii U, especially the last one...

Azhraell said:

40-45 millions. Bookmarking this thread to read again in the next few years!:P

So what do you think about your prediction now?

For the record, mine (from my old account) was more realistic but I was still lowballing in the end:

Bofferbrauer said:

I give it 130M and a long shelve life, thought the last years only as a pure handheld without a dock anymore. This includes 1 or 2 mid-gen upgrades and a plethora of different versions.

Edit: Where's the poll?

And a table to compare the different predictions?

Mid-gen uprade? Kinda.

Plethora of different versions? Also kinda.

Also, I expected the (not-yet-announced by that date) Lite to do much better at the end of the Switch's lifespan than it finally did irl.