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I don't think anyone can deny that the Switch will reach at least 150 million units sold.

Those last 10 million will be hard, but the rumors of the Switch successor not releasing until March 2025 will help if the Switch still has another holiday season under its belt. Even if there aren't any major titles for this year, the evergreen games can still shift a few million units.

The recent announcement of Pokémon Legends Z-A also shows the Switch will have some momentum in 2025, especially if it's a Switch exclusive and not cross-gen.