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Kai_Mao said:

While we assume GTA VI will do bonkers next year, will it really make a big impact in Japan?

GTAV sold 1.81M in Japan as of August 2023. Salnax made a post of most sold Western games in Japan back in Nov 4 2020. GTA V was #6 on that list.

"Breakdown

  • PS3: 880,877 retail + 2,519 digital
  • PS4: 774,453 retail + 115,749 digital
  • PS5: 1,551 retail
  • X360: 33,894 retail"

So I expect GTA VI to sell near 2M in Japan for its lifetime.

2M is huge for a Western game, but compared to what Nintendo brings to the table nowadays it is child's play.



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 160 million (was 120 million, then 140 million, then 150 million)

PS5: 130 million (was 124 million)

Xbox Series X/S: 54 million (was 60 million, then 57 million)

"The way to accomplish great things, is to be indefatigable and never rest till the thing is accomplished." - Joseph Smith Jr.