Shtinamin_ said: Switch is now at 49.00M, according to VGChartz. |
Using annual average is a poor way of looking at future sales, instead you should look at YoY trends.
USA numbers
2020-9.02 million
2021-7.61 million (-16%)
2022-5.83 million (-23%)
2023-4.85 million (-17%)
YoY decline should begin to accelerate at this point, last year had Zelda:ToTK & Mario Movie in Spring, this year has nothing of that magnitude so YoY comparisons will look really bad in Q2. It remains to be seen what Switch gets in the 2nd half of the year but I can’t imagine it being nearly as big as Mario Wonder, plus Switch 2 should be announced by then which can potentially impact hardware sales.
I could see Switch having more like a 30-35% decline or roughly 3.25 million this year in USA.
When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.