| Shtinamin_ said: I think the US will stand by Israel. But I think so for different reasons that I dont feel need to be addressed. |
So far Iran isn't interested in escalation. They're fine pestering US bases through their proxy groups. Contrary to Israel's belief, Arab countries rather just want 'peace' in the sense they get the economic benefits of normalization with Israel while maintaining their own control of their population. They don't want refugees, just like Europe.
Russia is decimating their own army reserves in Ukraine, but they do still have nukes :/
Which leaves China, which doesn't seem interested in joining the conflict either. There is this maybe worrying report
https://www.cnn.com/2024/02/21/business/china-corporate-militias-resurgence-int-hnk/index.html
Chinese companies are doing something rarely seen since the 1970s: setting up their own volunteer armies. At least 16 major Chinese firms, including a privately-owned dairy giant, have established fighting forces over the past year, according to a CNN analysis of state media reports.
These units, known as the People’s Armed Forces Departments, are composed of civilians who retain their regular jobs. They act as a reserve and auxiliary force for China’s military, the world’s largest, and are available for missions ranging from responding to natural disasters and helping maintain “social order” to providing support during wartime.
I don't think anyone has any interest in WW3, rather they want less US influence. (So they can do their own dirty work) The US still has by far the largest army and is the only country which has shown they will use nukes. Instead of leading into WW3, this more likely leads to more isolation of the US, more preference in the ME to deal with China rather than the US. And depending on how it is resolved, it might bolster people like Putin to annex more territory. Same with China. If the international order can't stop the Ukraine invasion nor the Gaza genocide, what would any other country care about violating international law.
No WW3, just gonna be an even shittier place for the oppressed :( And there will be some economic consequences.
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