I think it's going to be a disappointing year for switch sales unless Nintendo is able to cut the price significantly (at least $100 off each home model, maybe $50 off for the lite would be enough).
2023 had ToTK and Mario Wonder to keep interest in the console. So far, barring a complete surprise announcement, the only thing that might generate mass interest is whatever the Pokémon company is cooking up.
I'm expecting 9-10 million with no price cut, with a floor of 7.5 million. If they do cut the price then I would set the floor at 10 million and raise my prediction to 11-12 million.
I like it when my mom goes out of town because I get to sleep on her side of the bed. -William Montgomery