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Norion said:
CheddarPlease said:

I would agree with Rol here that really the #1 factor for the Switch 2's success is not whether its hardware is underpowered, or if it misses an "optimal" holiday launch window, or even if the switch has "weak" momentum in its last year, but rather entirely on whether it 

1) Has a strong launch year library of consistent and well-received first-party releases

2) Is properly priced and marketed as a successor to the Switch 

Those are the only big factors that matter, and any analysis suggesting otherwise is misguided

I didn't say it would negatively impact the Switch 2 to any notable degree, just that Nintendo would be missing the optimal release window for it. The ideal scenario would be them being able to achieve a strong launch year library with a late 2024 release date but unfortunately it seems they might not be able to.

Most consoles when launching near the holidays sell around 3-4 M.

The Switch in the first month shipped 2.74M and shipped around 5.96M for the holiday, so it seems like it found a better release window. At least that's what I think.



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 160 million (was 120 million, then 140 million, then 150 million)

PS5: 130 million (was 124 million)

Xbox Series X/S: 54 million (was 60 million, then 57 million)

"The way to accomplish great things, is to be indefatigable and never rest till the thing is accomplished." - Joseph Smith Jr.