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Dulfite said:
RolStoppable said:

You say that as if the console market as a whole would still care about the Xbox brand. 2023 has been more or less the peak sales performance for the Xbox Series and yet it was still outsold roughly 2:1 by an aging Switch.

If Xbox S2 launches in 2026, then it is highly likely PS6 will also launch that year. Either way, NS2 won't feel as exciting for the casuals when those two launch. NS1 had 2.5-3 years of being the newest major console on the market before competition released XS and PS5.

I just think Nintendo is crippling their long term sales potential of NS2 hardware by not releasing it this year. I'd be happy to eat my words by 2031 if it happens. 

I’m genuinely trying to think when this scenario has occurred in the past, the hot new toy eclipsing the existing new toy and impacting long term sales. Didn’t happen with DS vs PSP, Switch vs PS4, N64 vs PS1, NES vs Genesis, Game Gear/Turbo Express/Wonderswan/Lynx vs Gameboy etc; I guess you could make a case for PS1 vs Saturn, PS2 vs Dreamcast, and Wii vs 360/PS3, though I feel like long term sales were impacted by the shortcomings of the console/software rather than new competition. 

There’s just a lot of variables here, the most important being how well received the SW2 hardware is by the casual audience. If that’s clicking, and the first party heavy hitters are rolling out, coupled with a more than likely lower price point than PS6 and NextBox, I don’t see them coming 1.5 years later having much impact on long term sales. Time will tell tho, see you in ‘31 lol