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Bofferbrauer2 said:
ShadowLink93 said:

Top 100 Nintendo Published Games


Pokemon Stadium has been knocked out the top 100 by Super Mario Bros. Wonder which enters at #55.

Now the big question is: Can MK8DX have the legs (wheels?) to kick Wii Sports from the throne?

Also, I remember getting laughted off for thinking RFA could sell anywhere near Wii Fit, with most expecting maybe 3M tops. While still 5M short of Wii Fit, it came still much further than anyone dared to hope it would reach

ShadowLink93 said:

Switch selling 6.9 million in it's 28th quarter is crazy compared to what the PS4, Wii and DS were selling at the same time.

First, I want you to know that I, and I think everyone as well, appreciates your charts. They are immaculate.

Second, Wii Sports sold 82.90M units and Mario Kart 8 Deluxe sold 60.58M units, MK8D has 22.32M units to go. MK8D was released on April 28, 2017, which was 6 years and 9 months ago (81.5 months ago), that means it has sold around 8.97M units per year (0.74M units per month). I am making an assumption that it will continue to sell something similar to the 8.97M units per year, meaning that it will surpass Wii Sports in around 3 years.
If MK8D brings more DLC, very unlikely, I can see it reaching +82.9M within 2 years. Personally, I dont think it will surpass Wii Sports given the circumstances of the Switch (rumors of a successor, decline in hardware sales, no announcements for DLC, etc).

Third, by the 28th quarter the PS4, Wii and DS already had their successors released. So seeing how well the Switch is selling is a good indication that Nintendo can hold off for one more FY before releasing the successor. I can see the Switch continue to ship until quarter 41.

Fourth, PS5 has the goal to ship 59.4M units by quarter 14, which puts it -2.04M units behind the Switch shipments and -0.8M units behind PS4 shipments. I find it interesting that PS5 hasn't been able to sell in the holiday quarters near the same amount as the PS4 since COVID-19 hit.
PS4: 6.4M, 8.4M, 9.7M 
PS5: 3.9M, 7.1M, 8.2M
Granted, PS5 looks to be trying to catch up and make up for lost time, but given the recent announcement by Sony, it looks like this upcoming FY is going to be low, along with a low Q3. I guess near 7.0M for Q3 for PS5.



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 160 million (was 120 million, then 140 million, then 150 million)

PS5: 130 million (was 124 million)

Xbox Series X/S: 54 million (was 60 million, then 57 million)

"The way to accomplish great things, is to be indefatigable and never rest till the thing is accomplished." - Joseph Smith Jr.