Ultimate Consoles Showdown 2024: October 5th

[Shtinamin_]

DonFerrari said:

Shtinamin_ said:

I see the Switch at least keeping the -30% decline in the quarter reports until the next gen console is released. Rumors have it releasing in Sept - Nov 2024, for simplicity lets say it releases in Oct, so the Q2 is pure Switch. Once a new console drops it will drop to -50% so it should look like this if the new console releases in the specified month.
FY '24 Q1: 2.40M
FY '24 Q2: 2.05M
FY '24 Q3: 2.86M
FY '24 Q4: 1.08M
Bringing the March 31 2025 total to 8.39M, a -45% drop compared to the 15M goal Nintendo wants to reach by March 31 2024.

We will have a better understanding once the Yearly Earnings Release is available. Because rumors have Nintendo wanting to sell 10M units of their new console by March 31 2025. So we should be able to do some simple math. I predict to see 20M units as their goal.

(I think the FY for 2024-2025 is supposed to be FY '25)

Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 160 million (was 120 million, then 140 million, then 150 million)

PS5: 130 million (was 124 million)

Xbox Series X/S: 54 million (was 60 million, then 57 million)

"The way to accomplish great things, is to be indefatigable and never rest till the thing is accomplished." - Joseph Smith Jr.

I saw somewhere (and may be fake) that Nintendo said in a earning call that they don't plan to manufacture enough Switch to outsell PS2.

I haven't seen anything yet.
If you can find it, then we can have closure.
Until then, we will continue to make assumptions, and logical assessments.

Honestly, that would be rather sad if that earning call is true.

If you find it, please let us know.

Last edited by Shtinamin_ - on 02 February 2024