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shikamaru317 on 22 January 2024
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So, based on this, it looks like Witcher 4/Polaris development is majorly ramping up, expected to hit 400 devs by middle of 2024 (Witcher 3 had 150 early development, 250 by launch, while Cyberpunk 2077 started with 50 devs while Witcher 3 was in development and eventually ramped up to 500 devs before launch). CD Projekt gave no release timeline but considering the game has now been in development since early 2022, had 200+ devs by the end of it's first year of development, and will hit 400 devs by 2.5 years into development, analysts are predicting a release in 2026 or 2027, so probably around the first year of the next console generation assuming Xbox releases their next console Holiday 2026 as recently rumored.

Meanwhile Cyberpunk 2 development seems to be going much slower, it began development by October 2022, but is only expected to hit 80 developers by the end of 2024, 2 years into it's development. This makes it seem like Cyberpunk 2's release will probably be at least 3 years after Witcher 4's release, so around 2029 or 2030 maybe. 

Sadly, CD Projekt provided no updates on their other 3 announced projects, The Witcher 1 remake in UE5 which is being developed by Fool's Theory (a 3rd party studio founded by former Witcher 3 lead devs), Project Hadar (CD Projekt's first ever original IP), and Project Sirius (an online Witcher game being developed by Molasses Flood, the formerly indie studio that released Flame in the Flood as a timed Xbox exclusive and Drake Hollow as a full Xbox console exclusive). I would assume that Witcher 1 remake development would be further along than Witcher 4, Witcher 4 is being built entirely from the ground up while with Witcher 1 remake they have some groundwork finished right out the gate since it's a remake of an older game, so release 1 year before Witcher 4 maybe? If we're lucky.

Last edited by shikamaru317 - on 22 January 2024