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JRPGfan said:

I wouldn't even say shikamaru317, was being overly optimistic with his predictions. Comeing off 2022, what he wrote makes sense.
Its just,.... things didn't turn out that well. The games failed,.... to aid the hardware sales here.

At the start of last year basically everyone expected sales to be higher than 2022. Considering they didn't release any games in 2022 and they had stock issues with the X... It just didn't make sense back then to think what happened in 2023 was a reasonable possibility. This last year has really been a shock.