Does Nintendo need to launch the Switch 2 in 2024?

[Shtinamin_]

zorg1000 said:

I’m one who has mocked people for saying Nintendo has nothing coming or that all the big games are already on Switch but eventually those statements are going to be true.

We are 2 months away from Switch’s 7th birthday and Nintendo has legitimately released just about all of their big hitters on Switch. I’m sure Nintendo has a few more unannounced Switch games up its sleeves but I can’t imagine any megatons.

archbrix said:

Nintendo could announce a price drop for Switch, a banana colored model with a new Donkey Kong game, a new(ish) Pokemon game for the holidays along with Prime 4 and a couple of classic IPs we haven’t received yet and the Switch might be able to maintain 10m+ for the 2024 calendar year. And I think they should do all of that.

Leynos said:

They don't have any heavy hitters to carry them until next year. So yes. Sales are declining. Also the time is right. 3rd party devs need something else or they will stop supporting it as running into technical walls.

I would like to define a game as a heavy hitter as any game that sells over 3M units.
Here's my prediction of "heavy hitters" that can exist for Switch in 2024, with sales prediction (this does not constitute that these will come out, and are based on assumptions and trends, and whatever is left over franchise-wise).

• Mario Sports (Baseball?) 3.5M, we get a Mario Sport game from Camelot every three years with the last one being Mario Golf: Super Rush.
  
  
• Mario Party 2024 4.3M, NDCube releases a new Mario Party every 2 years.
• Tomadachi 4.8M
• Star Fox Switch 5.1M, If they can create a game like Star Fox 64 for the Switch then they will be set and reignite the Star Fox franchise.
• Mario & Sonic at the Paris Olympic Games 2024 6.2M, the last Olypmic games in 2019 was a flop selling near 1M as of March 2020, but that is why this one will sell well. They know what the people want. Recently, Jan 2023, Sega advertised for a "Client Programmer" who programs in Unity4 and Unreal.
  
  
• Donkey Kong (County 4, or 3D) 7.4M. The last DK game was Tropical Freeze in 2014 with a port in 2018. Its been 6 years since a DK game, longer if you dont count the port as actual work (a decade).
• Nintendogs 8.8M. If they were to release a Nintendogs they should've released it during the pandemic, it would've blown up like Animal Crossing.
• Pokémon Holiday 2024. 16M. Most likely a remake, for either Gen 2 or Gen 5 (Scarlet & Violet DLC are giving a lot of Gen 2 and Gen 5 love). They usually release a game every year, and DLC the following of the major gen in place of a game. Scarlet & Violet just finished their DLC in 2023, and a special episode in Jan 2024. Signs point to a new pokémon in November 2024.
  
  
  

Some franchises that I think would sell amazing on the Switch, but wouldn't sell over 3M or would never exist:
-Art Academy
-Rhythym Heaven
-Punch Out!
-Duck Hunt
-Mother remakes.