Does Nintendo need to launch the Switch 2 in 2024?

[zorg1000]

Mar1217 said:

I think people are kinda misjudging how important the hardware sales are for Nintendo operating income and revenue. Software is mostly what does the heavy lifting for them.

They're not gonna throw a pity party at their shareholders Q&A if said revenue is still as strong ever because their software sales remain high. Last financial quarter was a record breaking one for them.

Some people are acting out like Nintendo is literally on the verge of WiiU/3DS revenue years if they don't have the Switch successor ready for this year. But so far, we're not close to that.

Sure, software sales are very important but what makes you think they won’t start having similar YoY drops as hardware? 2023 had TotK, Mario Wonder and the Mario movie boosting sales of Mario titles in general, what is going to release in 2024 that will cause software sales to remain high this late in its life?

And you’re right that they certainly aren’t in a dire situation like they were in the 3DS/Wii U era, but why wait until hardware drops below 10m/year and software below 100m/year before releasing a successor?