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archbrix said:

Except for Dragon Quest and Monster Hunter World, what does Playstation have left in the future that Japan really cares about?  And I believe that at least one of those 2 will be on Switch 2 as well.  So, even accounting for all of the exports I can only entertain the PS5 crossing the 10m mark in Japan at some point, and even then, not by much in my opinion.  And there's a pretty large gap between 10m+ and almost 13m.

At least Dragon Quest was always in development for Switch from the start. Albeit it faced development difficulties. So maybe they're not too keen on going through that again, unless Switch 2 makes it notably easier to put multi plats on it.
Which I expect it will (if anything because of DLSS), but the question is to what degree.

Games like Resident Evil, Final Fantasy, Kingdom Hearts, Nier, Persona, Yakuza, etc, can be questionmarks depending on how the next Switch turns out.
Most games for PS5 are still developed for PS4 as well, but I imagine that will be uncommon within the next year or two.