Shtinamin_ said: Lets take a look at past PS consoles to get an idea how well PS is received in Japan. |
I'm just not as optimistic as some of you folks.
I will concede that the PS5 will probably pass the PS4 due to the high export rate, which is something I've said formerly was highly unlikely, but never impossible. And I'm the first to admit that I'm not great at predicting exactly where Sony's hardware will end up. For example, I initially thought the PS4 would sell less than 110m. I was wrong about that. Then, later on, I thought it would sell over 120m. I was wrong about that too. And I do think that PS5 is poised for huge numbers world-wide since Xbox seems to be incapable of impeding its progress and Switch 2 will co-exist without holding PS5 sales back.
But with the conscious choice to make the Playstation 5 a very western-oriented machine, it's not really what Japan is fond of, and as a result, I think PS5 sales are going to drop tremendously in the region once Switch 2 arrives simply because almost everything will be coming to it. Playstation systems have been able to rely on a number of 3rd party games not coming to Nintendo's system due to the power gulf but I think Switch 2 is going to be so much closer and able to get the vast majority of 3rd party games on board, that people are going to choose form factor over better versions of games in droves since Japan cares about that much more and Switch 2 will be good enough for most people when it comes to the next Monster Hunter.
Except for Dragon Quest and Monster Hunter World, what does Playstation have left in the future that Japan really cares about? And I believe that at least one of those 2 will be on Switch 2 as well. So, even accounting for all of the exports I can only entertain the PS5 crossing the 10m mark in Japan at some point, and even then, not by much in my opinion. And there's a pretty large gap between 10m+ and almost 13m.