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archbrix said:
Soundwave said:

I don't think 3D Mario + Metroid is enough to carry the Switch 2.

Mario Kart is bigger than all of those, Mario Kart is frankly the biggest Nintendo franchise by a mile dwarfing any Mario platformer at this point. It should be priority no.1 to have out for day 1 on Switch 2 if Nintendo truly wants a successful early product cycle for the Switch 2 which is comparable to the Switch 1.

Mario 3D alone ain't gonna do it and Metroid Prime is small potatoes (sorry Metroid fans) in the wide appeal sector.

Mario Kart you will want for NSO subscriptions as well. It just makes sense to have it day 1 and then have it grow with more and more tracks as time goes on and to lock people in to have to continually be subscribed to NSO to get new tracks.

There is going to be a Donkey Kong game of some sort to coincide with theme park launch too, that's definitely going to happen. 

Sure, but remember, the launch hype of a new system with some good titles doesn't need that silver bullet right out of the gate to put up good numbers.  Better for them to save it until the beginning of the next fiscal year or so (around May perhaps, similar to TOTK) to keep the momentum going.

DK, I believe, is still a finished Switch 1 game that would be better suited for that 140m+ user base than it would to show off a new console.  The theme park is set to open in the Spring and I don't think that Switch 2 will be out by then.

Where is the information regarding DK game? Is it the opening of Donkey Kong Country in Universal Studios Japan?
We could be hit with a DKC4 for Switch and a 3D DK for the NG, same year.


Salnax said:

My thoughts

  • At the moment, I'm assuming Nintendo will release the Super Switch or Switch 2 in Q4 2024 or Q1 2025.
  • Nintendo has generally tried to get a 3D Super Mario out within the first year or so for every possible platform since the N64. This doesn't make it a guaranteed launch title, but does make it a cnadidate.
  • Normally I'd say that Mario Kart 9 was a likely launch window title, but the MK8 Booster Pass makes me think that it could be some ways away.
  • Metroid Prime 4 would be a good candidate for a cross-gen release... if I had any confidence that it will ever get released. Alternatively, 2024's Pokemon game might be a cross-gen game, although it is more likely to just be on Switch if B2W2 and USUM are any indicators.
  • We will get at least one early casual game in the vein of Wii Sports, 1-2-Switch, Nintendo Land, Nintendogs, etc. Additionally, an early Mario Party is likely.
  • Mario Maker 3 could be a viable launch window game, based on the projected 5 year gap between releases and the popularity of the first two games.
  • Camelot is roughly due for a new game in 2024, but maybe it can be a Switch 2 game instead?
  • Grezzo has been quiet lately...

-Grezzo's last game was Miitopia in 2021. They are usually involved in Legend of Zelda remakes. So we could be seeing a (very unlikely but I can dream) a Legend of Zelda All Stars featuring Legend of Zelda, Link to the Past, and Oracle of Ages/Seasons.

-Camelot's last game was Mario Golf Rush in 2012, and pump a game every 3 years. I was speculating a Mario Baseball game (Baseball is a bug Japanese and American sport).

-Pokémon won't be porting any games to both consoles, they can barely make things run on the Switch. I think they'll be pushing for the NG. It will either be Let's GO Johto or Gen 5 remake. I hope for Let's GO, that way they can spend more time on gen 5, I can't let them be massacring my boy like gen 4 remakes.

-Mario Party gets pumped out every 2 years. The last one was Mario Party Superstars in 2021. And a lack of Mario Party in 2023, means 2024 is most likely to arrive. Either Switch or NG.

Jumpin said:

I’d love to see Xenoblade Chronicles X dx (XCXDX) or a sequel, and I think there’s a good chance of that at the end of year 1.
Super Mario Kart 9 and in the 6 month window.
The next 3D Mario seems a lock for launch day.

My moonshot game would be Xenogears Remake by Monolithsoft, licensed by Square Enix, published by Nintendo.
Written and Directed by Tetsuya Takahashi
Story: Soraya Saga/Kaori Tanaka
Music Composition: Yasunori Mitsuda
Art Director: Yasuyuke Honne
Character Designs by Tanaka and (optional) Tetsuya Nomura
Level Design and Map: Koh Arai
(Optional) Script: Masato Kato

I think it’s important to get most of the original creative team onboard, luckily, almost all of the creative minds work at Monolithsoft or have great relations with them. Tetsuya Nomura is someone who I think would be interesting to put on the team, and I know he has good relations with Monolithsoft - he was almost a part of Xenogears but was put on FF7 (which Xenogears was at one point).

What is Xenogears? Iv'e never heard of it, but it sounds rather stacked.



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 160 million (was 120 million, then 140 million, then 150 million)

PS5: 130 million (was 124 million)

Xbox Series X/S: 54 million (was 60 million, then 57 million)

"The way to accomplish great things, is to be indefatigable and never rest till the thing is accomplished." - Joseph Smith Jr.