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Bofferbrauer2 said:

A tech demo game, Mario Kart 9, Metroid Prime 4, some older IP as a surprise, maybe a 3D Mario and/or Pokemon

I say maybe a 3D Mario as I'm not sure how big the team overlap are with 2D Mario. Since Super Mario Wonder just released, a 3D Mario title might not be feasible in time for the release if there's too much overlap.

Pokemon tend to come only after a console established itself a bit, so I don't think it will be a release title. However, considering the technical difficulties with the previous iterations on the Switch, they might be more willing to move to a new platform quickly this time around.

As for why no Zelda, that's because the IP will celebrate 40 years in 2026, and I'm sure Nintendo wants to release something big for the celebration, like how they wanted to do with Breath of the Wild for it's 30th birthday (which had to be pushed back due to the Switch releasing too late to fit for the celebration)

The 2D Mario series is developed by EPD 10 (they are also in charge of developing Pikmin). Nintendo stated that they will "try not to let everyone wait" for Pikmin 5. Considering the gap between Pikmin 3 & Pikmin 4, 10 years, we can expect Pikmin 5 to release before 2033 (I'm guessing 2030). And yes we just got the new 2D mario with Wonder (I think they can do so much with the Wonder Seed idea, and remake old games with the wonder seed).

The 3D Mario Series is developed by EPD 8 (they've worked on flipnote studio, mario makers, and NES Remix). Their last full game was back in Nov 2013, and the Switch port was released in Feb 2021 with a new expansion Bowser's Fury. 

If you are saying Nintendo will come out swinging this hard on launch day, then that would be something wonderful.



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