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Kyuu said:

That's more like it. But it highlights how poorly it performed in the US. With GTA6 and MH Wilds not releasing in 2024, and no major pricedrops in sight, I expect a 5 million~ decline in sales YoY. 2025 will pick up by 2 or 3 million, then it's a constant decline for the remainder of the console's life.

Based on what the PS5 has sold Jan-Nov I'm expecting it to finish this year at about 22.5m sales. I think this could be it's peak year which would be a year earlier than usual, but I also expect 2024 sales to be fairly similar, so just a mild decline. I think that dropping to ~17.5m would be pretty extreme. A ~23% drop YoY at that stage of a PlayStation's life would be very severe. Even a year later in 2018 the PS4 only dropped 8% from it's peak.