US Politics |OT|

[Shtinamin_]

SvennoJ said:

94% turnout? That is very high.

In Canada it was 62% for the 2021 elections, and only 43.5% for the provincial elections (Ontario) a record low.
2021 could still have to do with Covid, yet the highest turnout since 1993 was 68% in 2015.

This is odd

Voter turnout in the 2020 U.S. general election soared to levels not seen in decades, fueled by the bitter campaign between Joe Biden and Donald Trump and facilitated by pandemic-related changes to state election rules. More than 158.4 million people voted in that election, according to a Pew Research Center tabulation of official state returns, amounting to 62.8% of people of voting age, using Census Bureau estimates of the 2020 voting-age population.

From Reuters

Posts circulating on social media allege that “only 133 million registered voters voted” to falsely claim that the number of votes cast for Joe Biden is not mathematically possible. The calculation on which this claim is based on is misleading. The nationwide voter turnout is usually calculated using the eligible-voting population as a denominator, not the number of registered voters. Around 239,247,182 people were eligible to vote in 2020. While there is no available figure yet for nationwide registered voters for 2020, Reuters calculations found there were an estimated 206,557,583 registered voters as of the publication of this article.

Anyway turnout is calculated from eligible voters. No idea where those registered voter numbers come from.

I was calculating turnout based on who registered and who actually voted. I think it gives a fair representation. It let's us know who we are actually voting for, because when I look at the Voter Age Population (VAP) and the Voter Eligible Population (VEP), it doesn't feel like an accurate representation of what happening, whereas Registered Voters to Votes seems like an accurate depiction. At least to me it does.

If we considered eligible voter population is would look as so:
1996: VEP, 186.3M. Voted, 96.4M.     51.7% turnout
2000: VEP, 194.3M. Voted, 105.6M.   54.3% turnout
2004: VEP, 203.5M. Voted, 122.3M.   60.1% turnout
2008: VEP, 213.3M. Voted, 131.4M.   62.5% turnout
2012: VEP, 222.5M. Voted, 129.2M.   58.0% turnout
2016: VEP, 230.9M. Voted, 136.7M.   59.2% turnout
2020: VEP, 239.2M. Voted, 158.4M.   66.2% turnout


I got the registered voters from: Statista
https://www.statista.com/statistics/273743/number-of-registered-voters-in-the-united-states/
They do a good job, and are reliable.

66% is still rather high. The highest percentage we can calculate so far. 4% higher than when Obama and McCain were nominees. 7% higher than Trump vs Clinton, and that one seemed pretty bitter as well.

If we base the info off of the VAP then the numbers look even crazier. The highest turnout was 62.8% in 1960. 2008 was 57.1% and 2016 was 54.8%
2020 was a staggering 62.8% (according to a Wiki it's 62.0%, but Pew is more credible) which is astounding to me.

Maybe I'm being crazy, I just wanted to share my info and the connection I made.