Really unlikely not only due to factors mentioned like the boost it got from the pandemic and how hard it is for a console to sell over 150 million but also due to it having more competition with the rise of handheld PC gaming. I can see at least a few million people who got a Switch not bothering with the successor and sticking to something like a Steam Deck instead and with how daunting a task outselling the Switch will be that by itself could make it not doable.