Slownenberg said:
Switch looking like it will probably only hit like 4.2m at best at this point, or more likely 4.1m.
Dreams of 4.4 or 4.3 are gone at this point. Next week is the first holiday week this year so should see big increases in all systems for rest of the year. Switch needs to average 130k/week for the five holiday weeks to hit 4.2m. Seems doable. Last year it averaged 160k/week for those weeks so 130k/week this year feels about right, though it definitely could come in under that and only do 4.1m, and not having a major holiday game launching in Nov/Dec will hurt hardware sales this holiday so 4.1m is probably the most likely. Nintendo really should have planned one more big game after Mario Wonder to release directly during the holidays. Still, even though it's gonna be lower than it looked like it would be as of a couple months ago, 4.1/4.2m in year 7 in Japan is unbelievable!
Wow Super Mario RPG did amazing! 300k for physical only in Japan opening week for SMRPG! Wow. I don't know what I was expecting but that's probably about double what I would have guessed it would do. Don't know how the interest will be split between Japan and rest of the world, but you gotta figure it did easily over 1 million globally this first week which is quite impressive. |
Nah, the software schedule is fine for this quarter
1st Party
Detective Pikachu Returns
Super Mario Bros. Wonder
WarioWare: Move It!
Mario Kart 8 Deluxe Booster Course Pass Wave 6 (DLC)
Super Mario RPG
Pokemon Scarlet & Violet: The Hidden Treasure of Area Zero: The Indigo Disk (DLC)
3rd Party
Jinsei Game for Nintendo Switch
Metal Gear Solid: Master Collection Vol. 1
Fashion Dreamer
Star Ocean: The Second Story R
Momotaro Dentestu World
Hogwarts Legacy
Persona 5 Tactica
Dragon Quest Monsters: The Dark Prince
A variety of small, medium & big games from a variety of genres. I think it’s just a matter of Switch being in it’s 7th year and we have seen a trend in the last few years of Q4 sales making up a smaller percentage of overall sales.
Q4 % of annual sales
2017-50%
2018-49%
2019-44%
2020-34%
2021-31%
2022-30%
