The Road to 160m+ for Nintendo Switch

[Shtinamin_]

archbrix said:

Personally, I believe Nintendo has another game we don’t know about (possibly DK, releasing around the theme park opening) that is waiting in the wings for Switch in 2024 set to be a decent-sized title. Something already done (like Wonder was) that would benefit the 140m+ user base of Switch more than it would the launch of Switch 2, which I think Nintendo has a specific criteria for.

So, after Mario vs DK and Princess Peach during the first quarter, we have Luigi’s Mansion 2, Paper Mario, and Metroid Prime 4, which I believe will be a dual-release. Throw in smaller stuff like Professor Layton and all it would take is another Pokemon remake/Arceus sequel as Switch’s November title for the console to have a very good 10m+ transition year.

And while I agree that a price drop is not happening while Switch is Nintendo’s main focus, I think that changes once Switch 2 releases and I do expect some sort of official price reduction in the future.

I had once pegged the Switch passing the PS2 by March of 2025; now ~152m by then sounds about right if Nintendo does indeed give the Switch the ending it deserves, which I believe will result in the console becoming the biggest selling of all time - even if that’s not Nintendo’s primary concern.

Yes, I agree that Nintendo has at least one more major game to release on the Switch for the Summer of 2024. And it will most likely be a DK game, due to the heavy plot surrounding the Kongs from the Mario Movie, and the opening of the Donkey Kong Country opening in Universal Studios Japan (most likely in Summer 2024).
But I disagree that The Pokémon Company will release a new game for the Switch. The Pokémon Company released a COO Address in which they mentioned slowing down their game release window. Thus we might start to see a 4 or 5 year release window. Many people are speculating gen 5 remakes but they wont do so until the release of gen 10 (which is next but they wont release it until near the end of gen 10 given how they released gen 4 remakes & Legends at the very end of gen 8). So, given this we might see gen 10 in 2025 with the 2nd holiday season of the NG, and gen 5 remakes near the beginning of 2027/2028. They might release a side game, kinda like Pokémon Rumble, or a Pokémon Colosseum/Gale of Darkness next year but that is probably way too optimistic.