By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close
Fight-the-Streets on 18 November 2023
Edit Thread
Shtinamin_ said:
Fight-the-Streets said:

I think Q4 FY2024 will be around 2mil. and for Q4 FY2025 around 1.3mil. I excpect FY2025 to ship around 10mil. Something between 5 - 5.5mil. in the holidays season (Q3) and the rest distributed among the other quarters of which I think Q4 will be the weakest.

I do agree that Q4 of each year is the weakest in the earnings report in regards to console sales.
Ok so if I make the adjustment for Switch to sell 2 million and 1.3 million, then the Switch will land somewhere near the 159 million mark.

If you were Nintendo and wanted to reach 161 million, how and what would you do?

At FY end 2023 (end of March 2023) Nintendo officially shipped 125.62mil. Switches. At that point, Nintendo predicted that they will ship 15mil. for FY2024. Ideally and likely, they will ship a bit more than predicted, probaby ship a bit more than 1mil. more. So, we would then be close to 142mil. shipped at end of March 2024. From there, I remain with my 10mil. for FY2025 and we will end at 152mil. shipped at end of March 2025. If things will go smooth, another 6mil. are possible for FY2026 and we will be at 158mil. at end of March 2026. In such a scenario, it will be relatively easy then to sell some more and break the 161mil. This would be my more optimistic scenario but not unrealistic at all.