The Road to 160m+ for Nintendo Switch

[Shtinamin_]

Fight-the-Streets said:

Bascially, we are on the same page on this. However, I don't think the prices of the different Switch models will drop that deep as you assume. On the other hand, I think you have the New Switch at a too low launch price, I think it will be definitely more expensive than $299.99. I think it will be $399.99 (maybe even a premium model with card slot for $349.99). Other than that I think your Q4 for FY2024 with 2.9mil is too high as well as th 2mil for Q4 FY2025.

I'm glad we are on the same page of 161-162 million range.
What did you think will be the FY2024 Q4 & FY2025 Q4 sells then?

Yeah I only went that low cause the Wii dropped about $120 when the WiiU released. And the OLED needs to be less expensive than the NG. But if the NG prices at $399.99 then the Switch wont need to drop as drastically and will most like drop $50-$80.
The "leaks" and "rumors" are putting the NG launch price at $449.99 with a digital only at $399.99. If Nintendo does release a console at this price then I think my estimates for the Switch in 2024-25 Q3 all the way to 2026-27 Q1 will need to be much higher honestly. Most families would rather not buy a brand new console for $400+, sure it will be a Nintendo product but Nintendo does their best to be in a healthy range of $200-$300 for their products, which is why I said it would launch at $299.99. Families would rather get a cheaper older console with a proven library that will bring endless hours of fun and $60 games or less (except TotK). 
Now I have been proven wrong with the price of the OLED being at $349.99, so we shall see. We are entering new waters in the coming years.

Last edited by Shtinamin_ - on 17 November 2023