DonFerrari said:
So you don't think Nintendo antecipated their launch of Switch due to WiiU blunder or that MS and Sony would have delayed the release of PS4/PS5 X1/Series if the sales of the SW of the previous system was still as strong as in the peak? Not sure your point of being leapfrogged makes much sense actually, X360 their most successful console owns a good portion of it to a 1 year earlier release (which also most likely rushed PS3 release), and X1 being weaker than PS4 wasn't the issue (as we can see that Series S outsell X and PS5 is weaker than X on paper but comfortably outsell it). Companies do have timelines and expected plan, but they most certainly change based on sales of HW/SW, and not because of a one week sales but they certainly keep monitoring their quarterly results and will change plans if they get to out of forecast. |
If companies released their next systems when sales declined, Switch would have launched in 2013, Xbox Series in like 2017, Wii U in 2010, etc.
The 360 got lucky with Sony bungling the PS3, they can't rely on such luck again. Xbone being weaker than PS4 was absolutely one of the reasons it was beaten. PS5 and Series isn't the same as PS5 and X are almost a tie in power and the S despite being $200 cheaper hasn't stopped Series sales from crashing.
And theoretically, if next gen does come in 2027, so what? That still leaves us likely another 5 years of Xbox Series being produced, that's still enough for them to ship another 500k to Japan.