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This is really hard to tell because they are both long term sellers. There is no real reason why either one can't come out on top. A Black Friday sales was just revealed for the Spiderman at 49.99. There is every reason to expect that Spiderman stays in the lead for the short term. Also, because PS5 is nearing midlife and Switch is EOL, I would bet on SM2 but honestly Nintendo can easily come back into contention by simply lowing the price at some point in the near feature... even just $10 on Black Friday would do 'Wonders'.