September 2023 VGChartz Estimates Thread - Worldwide Estimates Out Now

[DonFerrari]

XtremeBG said:

DonFerrari said:

So far this year Series sales is like 25% lower YTD, for them to revert it and have a growth for the year their holiday will need to be very good, and considering that even on the month of Starfield it barely increased I don't think even on 2024 they will have growth against 2023 much less 2022.

2024 will be weaker than 2023 ? Which should be weaker than 2022 according to you ?

Series should have peak years. At least two .. Which from the looks of things 2023 won't be one of them, however it still can deliver one normal holiday boost and beat 2022 out from the water .. The 2022 and 2011 holiday boost were mediocre. Now there is a chance.

However I think 2024 and 2025 might be those peak years for the Series where maybe it can do something like 10M for the year. And after that slowly to go 8M, 6.5M you know, just like the years after 2017 for the XB1. It may finish around XB1 or even slightly ahead lifetime of sales let's say 65M ? But then again it can go either way. The next two years will be decisive about this.

Usually sales curve go up at the early years, plateau near the peak and them have sharp decline. Not usual at all to see a console in the third year having a 25% drop YoY to see a big increase in sales for the 4th year. And you want to believe the 5th year would also be better than 2022/2023? Well I don't think it will come through, but best of luck on that (also it isn't uncommon for consoles that didn't get much traction to see peak on 2nd or 3rd year).