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| VMCJonCarter said: I'm going to go with Early 2025 If the Switch is still being Supported to FY24/25. |
| znake said: Summer 2025 I fear |
Nintendo has a reason to be cautious since their rate of successors faring worse outnumber the opposite outcome 2 to 1.
Still, most Switches sold nowadays and in the future are the OLED models, and likely as a replacement for current owners. The added manufacturing cost of the OLED model is unknown, but Nintendo assured costumers and investors that it's more than the $10 that was claimed by a 3rd-party report.
Now, the Switch 2 will feature a common LCD panel, and the cost of the T239 on the Switch 2 likely won't be more than $20 higher than the X1 (assuming $10,000 for a 5nm wafer vs. $3,000 for 16nm, and die sizes of 160 mm2 vs. 90 mm2).
While we don't know what other bells and whistles the Switch 2 might also come with, there's a real possibility it might turn as much of a profit as the Switch OLED does even if it releases for just $349. It's simply not cost effective to keep the Switch around for this long.
Nintendo would just lose money on the table.
