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The_Liquid_Laser said:
zorg1000 said:

I’m convinced Switch 2 is releasing next fall and I don’t see Nintendo wanting to have a big drought of 1st party titles leading up to its launch so I think 2024 will have a pretty solid lineup, maybe not filed with huge system sellers but a steady flow of medium sized titles.

The main problem with this reasoning is that first party releases have noticeably dropped the year before the successor released on EVERY PREVIOUS NINTENDO SYSTEM.  You're basically saying, "I believe what I want to believe, and I don't care what the reliable evidence says."

I'll start predicting a Switch 2 when I start seeing a drop in first party production.  This year has a new Zelda and a new Mario, and we're about to get a 40-minute Nintendo Direct.  All of this content is a sign that a successor is not coming soon.  On top of that Nintendo just posted their best first quarter in the entire history of ever.  It would be moronic business to replace the Switch right now.  All signs point to a Switch 2 coming later rather than sooner.

In the past Nintendo had always been supporting two hardware lines. Part of the reason for the hybrid was to prevent that sort of thing. This year had a new Zelda, but that was delayed and releasing it this year wasn't the original plan. Aside from that, Skyward Sword released just about a year before Wii U, so that logic would place the Switch 2 at the middle of next year. 

Aside from Mario Wonder and TOTK which was delayed into this year, there aren't a ton of major titles that were released this year. Pikmin 4, Mario RPG, and FE Engage are the biggest ones. Not a terrible lineup, but also not one that makes me think the Switch must have another few years of life.