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curl-6 said:

Some of you guys are really sleeping on Mario Bros Wonder.
This is the first new mainline 2D Mario in over a decade and the first one that's not in the NSMB mold since 1990, riding the wake of the biggest video game movie success of all time and launching on a 130 million install base that has shattered the software records of almost every Nintendo franchise that has released on it.
It's gonna be gargantuan.

I think that depends a lot on how good it is. If it had years to get leggy sales like NSMBUD did then sure it would have crazy sales cuz even the mediocre last gen stale NSMBUD has legged it out looking like it may hit 20m eventually. But next gen is probably gonna be starting a year after Wonder comes out and I'm not sure it's gonna have much legs beyond that year. It's gonna be a huge christmas title sure, could very well sell 20m in its holiday launch quarter, but this thread is comparing it to Nintendo's biggest and probably most desired game of all time, which sold 10m in 3 days. I don't really see 2D Mario blowing away the masses the way something like 3D Mario or open world Zelda does. It's gonna be super popular, but is it going to be open world Zelda popular??? I doubt it.

Now if tomorrow when they show it off it looks to be something truly special and ground breaking that might change the story. But just a new 2D Mario I don't think is gonna beat out Nintendo's most looked forward game of all time which was TotK.