Like I've mentioned before 2D Mario games have usually benefitted from very long legs, being the sort of games casual players will pick up when they get the system over many years, but Wonder is coming out to late to really get much of that. U Deluxe has been the game to get that boost instead and while some will get Wonder as well, I think it will be quite far from all of them. For that reason I don't really see Wonder outselling TotK or Mario Odyssey for that matter. I would predict ~25m, maybe a bit more.
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