Predict the Floor for Switch 2

[Slownenberg]

I went with 81-90 million for the floor.

The worst selling Nintendo portable was the 3DS at 75 million. And that came out about a decade before Switch 2 is coming out. Industry has probably grown a little bit during that time. Also Nintendo screwed up with the whole 3D gimmick, and with the WiiU being a failure at the same time Nintendo definitely temporarily lost some popularity with consumers at that point. Also 3DS wasn't a hybrid which gives Switch 2 another advantage.

So realistically (assuming Nintendo just doesn't botch everything about the system and games) I would say there is no way it sells as low as the 3DS. If they make some serious screw ups I could see it only getting in the 80 millions. More realistically if all they do is put out a straight update to the Switch, and keep making great games but don't do anything spectacular, it should at least hit 100m. I very much doubt it will match the Switch, but I don't think there's any way that it goes as low as the 3DS, and I'd say PS3/X360 to Wii numbers are probably a realistic floor.