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Slownenberg on 04 August 2023
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HyrulianScrolls said:

I think Mario Kart 9 is a sure thing. My guess is they’ve been spending all these years working on something huge with that to be their next gen launch killer app. It’s really their best bet to try to get as much of the massive Switch base to upgrade initially.

I also think Prime 4 is going to get BotW’d and be cross gen launch, with emphasis put on the next gen version’s graphics. I wouldn’t be surprised if that’s it for the heavy hitters and something like new 3D Mario is within the first year, but not launch. Pipe dream is an Ocarina remake for launch, since I think that could be huge and help the inevitable long gap to new Zelda.

3D Mario has gotta be launch day. Full stop.

MK is the big party game and the long term sales beast, but for a big launch you want a critically acclaimed one player game. Every Nintendo console has launched with either cutting edge Mario or Zelda except GC and WiiU - the two sales flops. GC had Luigi's Mansion, WiiU only had 2D Mario. There is zero chance Switch 2 comes out without 3D Mario on launch day. And it's not like they haven't had as many years as they could ask for to get the next 3D Mario ready, so not being ready for the launch won't be a problem. Mario Kart could also be launch day but I think more likely it'll be like they did on the Switch where it comes out a few weeks later cuz may as well give consumers a second burst of excitement a few weeks later rather than just all in one day. So if it's a Nov 2024 launch, MK9 probably first week of December.

Agree on Prime 4 being a possible early Switch 2 title. I don't expect it to be cross gen, I think they either are finishing it up as a Switch game or I feel like at this point more likely they moved it to being a next gen game and that's why we haven't heard about it yet. I think next gen is more likely than them doing two totally different graphical builds for the game just to make it cross gen, or hampering the next gen version by just having it be a prettier version of the Switch build. But yeah could see a next gen Prime 4 come out in that launch period or a few months later like an early 2025 release. Kinda think with Mario and MK9 in the launch period they'd probably give Prime 4 some breathing space and not also put that during the launch and instead set it up as the start of a great 2025.

Last edited by Slownenberg - on 04 August 2023